He came up with this spreadsheet (which has two columns cut off when I view in Chrome, but which works fine when I download it) and the likely figures $12.11, $10.38, or $11.28 per pack, using the cards' last eBay sale prices and different methods of scaling down for the supply increase.
His explanation video makes his calculations look reasonable, but even if they aren't, his doc is a pretty handy index of last-known-prices of the cards in Modern Masters.
Using MrLuBuFu's data, here's a table listing upcoming MM rares whose last eBay sale was for 50% of the SCG price or less:
I don't know if there are any patterns or lessons about retail to figure out here. I was a bit surprised to see Gifts Ungiven on this list.
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