Tuesday, 23 July 2013

Standard: Naoki Shimizu's Bant Flash

Of the PTQ winners in the last post, probably the coolest deck is this thing by famous UG master Naoki Shimizu:


2012-style Bant Control decks had, like, Thragtusk and Farseek. Shimizu's deck plays 4 Advent of the Wurm and 3 Unsummon instead of those cards.

There are some defensive creatures in the sideboard, but the maindeck uses only 5 sorcery-speed cards (2 Supreme Verdict and 3 Augur of Bolas). Basically, Shimizu played a dedicated Snapcaster Mage deck to qualify for the pro tour:

  25 lands (with no "ability lands")
  15 card draw (counting Snapcasters and Augurs)
  5 creatures
  12 removal (including 4 bounce effects)
  3 counterspells

Shimizu beat a Zombie deck in the finals of a PTQ near Kobe. Here's a fun sample hand:


Standard: PTQ Theros win scoreboard

Compiling the winning decks from this page, here's a scoreboard of what decks have won the most spots at PT Theros:


DeckWPlaces
Junk Rites8South Carolina, British Columbia, Maryland, Kansas, Florida, MTGO, Ontario, New Hampshire
Jund8Mississippi, Connecticut, Arizona, Illinois, New Jersey, Hawaii, Washington, Nebraska
Gruul6New York, New Mexico, Alberta, Ontario, MTGO, Washington
UWR Flash5MTGO, MTGO, Arkansas, California, Massachusetts
BWR Aristocrats5Texas, Ontario, Oklahoma, Montana, British Columbia
Red4MTGO, California, MTGO, California
Bant Auras4New York, Maine, Virginia, Oregon
Big Naya3Japan, Tennessee, Iowa
Naya Humans2Alberta, Manitoba
Esper Control2North Carolina, Michigan
UG Quirion Dryad1Arizona
Humans Rites1Japan
Bant Flash1Japan
Rakdos1Nebraska
GB1Idaho
Junk Aristocrats1MTGO


Notably few PTQ wins for Big Naya or Junk Aristocrats. All 8 of the recorded "Jund PTQs" were in the States.

Friday, 19 July 2013

Modern: Spanky kc's Restore Balance

A cool deck from these DE results:


This works a bit like the Living End deck -- the ideal plan is to suspend a Greater Gargadon, use a cascade spell to get Restore Balance, and then sacrifice all your permanents before it resolves. (The cycling creatures, which get reanimated in the Living End deck, are only here as "draw a card" spells that you can't cascade into.)

You could play this instead of Living End if you think destroying all the lands is better than getting a bunch of 3/4s, but you need to be luckier with this deck and draw one of 4 Greater Gargadons for the plan to work. This looks like a budget deck and weak to Remand, so we'll see if it keeps winning.

Tuesday, 16 July 2013

Finance: Grading the M14 Mythics

(modified from the great MythicSpoiler.com)

There are 10 new mythics and 3 reprinted mythics in Magic 2014. I ranked the new ones by their chance of being good in standard:

Chandra (60%). The point of this would be to +1, survive to untap, and then start getting a free card a turn. It wouldn't go in a 19 mountain aggro deck, and the +0 doesn't interact well with counterspells or Bonfires. Probably a Farseek deck is best; Jund could be adapted to play some cheap blockers -- Elvish Visionary?

Shadowborn Demon (50%). I had this much lower until I read Owen Turtenwald's M14 piece. "Destroy target creature" less powerful in current standard than it sounds, but Owen points out that sacrificing creatures is pretty easy.

Scourge of Valkas (25%). Obviously this does nothing today, but if, say, two good cheap dragons are printed in the next block, Scourge of Valkas will start looking real.

Garruk, Caller of Beasts (25%). A sideboard card for a hypothetical Bant. I don't know if people will want more than two copies.

Archangel of Thune (10%). You'd need, like, Sol Wardens and Soulmenders to make this work -- creatures that can gain life for zero mana.

Kalonian Hydra (5%). Wolfir Silverheart is underplayed, but this does so much less than Wolfir Silverheart.

Rise of the Dark Realms (1%). I'm not sure how much play 7BB for "Win the game" would see.

Devout Invocation (1%). If you have seven mana and a lot of untapped creatures, there are other cards that just win you the game.

Windreader Sphinx (1%). It's tough to see where this does more than Angel of Serenity / Sphinx's Revelation / Aetherling.

Primeval Bounty (0%). You'd have to be playing a very slow deck with a lot of creatures in it somehow.


The "good mythics" are Chandra and Shadowborn Demon, which will open at (rightfully) high prices.

The mythic I might speculate is Scourge of Valkas -- I'd want to buy low in August and then hope for a Dragon deck in standard by 2014. But the price might not go low enough -- Scourge of Valkas has casual appeal and other people might be making the same play as me.

My plan for now is to sell every mythic rare I open.

Saturday, 13 July 2013

Pauper: Rebel Post

Rebel Cloudpost decks have started showing up in the Pauper DE results:


This deck by xin30hp was the first to appear, and so far it's the only 4-0 list we've seen. It breaks down into 24 lands + 7 mana artifacts, 13 searchers, 7 removal, 1 Standard Bearer, and 8 rebels you don't really want to draw. The creature curve lines up at 4 / 10 / 8.

Rebels and Cloudposts have always been legal in Pauper, but, as Carlos Gutierrez points out, it's only since Modern Masters that Bound in Silence has been a common.

(For reference: forum threads from 2012 discussing early Rebel decks with Cloudpost and Kaervek's Torch, thread from 2013 worrying about the Temporal Fissure matchup.)

The idea is to play t1 Cloudpost, t2 searcher, t3 Glimmerpost and search. I could see fast decks losing to Aven Riftwatcher every turn, and I could see slow decks losing to the card advantage of getting, like, 10 creatures into play without depleting your hand.

The price of MTGO Cloudposts doubled this week.

The Prophetic Prism / Kaervek's Torch package hasn't been seen in other rebel decks (many run Bonesplitter) but it sort of shows off how perfect the mana-base is here. It should be fun to see if Syncopate Rebels or Faith's Fetters Rebels or Dawnglare Invoker Rebels ever catches on online.

Wednesday, 10 July 2013

Limited: M14 common synergy and strategies

UPDATE: Instead of this post, please try reading pick orders by Frank Karsten and Owen Turtenwald. Karsten and Turtenwald are top pros who wrote based on a lot of experience; the post below is just my guesswork from reading the spoiler before the set was released.

GW Slivers: Probably the best three common slivers are Predatory Sliver, Sentinel Sliver, and Hive Stirrings.  There are common Slivers in red, but they are not as good.

RB Aggro: There aren't many "bears" in M14, but the best ones are probably Child of Night, Corpse Hauler, and Goblin Shortcutter. Those plus Festering Newt should go well with Lightning Talons and the red finisher commons (Lava Axe, Act of Treason, Seismic Stomp).

Auramancer and Quag Sickness.

Trained Condor and Scroll Thief: Drafting Condor is probably harder than drafting Tricks of the Trade was, but this is still cool.

UR Archaeomancer: Stuff like Essence Drain and Murder made Archaeomancer best in UB for M13, but M14 doesn't have as many common black targets for Archaeomancer. It can still recur stuff like Chandra's Outrage and Lava Axe.

Pick this early.
Blue Control: The general weakness of the creatures in M14 means "durdle cards" like counterspells and Divination are good, and it makes Disperse good by forcing people into auras like Mark of the Vampire and Trollhide.

Big Green: There isn't anything like Timberpack Wolf or Centaur Courser at common in M14; the best green cards are the Llanowar ElfHunt the Weak, and Sporemound. Rootwalla instead of Yeva's Forcemage also makes green a mana-hungry colour. Verdant Haven should be very playable now.

Things I don't recommend:

- 5-colour green. The fixing is there (Verdant Haven and Shimmering Grotto), but there are no gold cards, so all the bombs in this set cost heavy coloured mana and aren't really splashable.
- UW flyers. This strategy works better when there are exalted creatures in the set. In M14, UW flyers will just mean attacking for 1 with Seacoast Drake and Griffin Sentinel. The best blue common (Trained Condor) encourages you to play a bunch of non-flyers.
- GR Advocate of the Beast. There are only two common beasts in the set.
- White weenie. Master of Diversion will make people try this deck, but the common white attackers are pretty bad in this set.

Nice Play: Hetrick casts turn-two Snapcaster

I think it's widely known that turn-two Snapcaster should be played more often, but I don't think many people know when to do it. Here's when to do it.

"Yeah, I think I'm on the Snap plan."

M1G2 of these videos, stuck on two lands, Michael Hetrick plays his 2/1 flash creature on his Scapeshift opponent's EOT. It's a chance to rule the board against a nearly-creatureless deck, and it's a potential third land via Path to Exile. Good play.


In M3G2, Hetrick makes another nice play by waiting to use Tectonic Edge on his opponent's upkeep.


The opponent was playing the "Sharfman version" of Scapeshift, with Peer Through Depths and no Primeval Titans. On Hetrick's turn, he played a Tectonic Edge and considered the opponent's open mana.
"I'm sure he has, like, Peer Through Depths, so it's not entirely an extra tun [gained by land destruction]. I think it's worth it.
"We're gonna pass, though, and do it on his upkeep, depending on if he Peers."
[Pass turn. Opponent plays nothing. Opponent's upkeep, use Tectonic Edge.]
"He didn't Peer. I just wanted him to not know if we were gonna do it, if he did cast the Peer."