Friday 7 June 2013

Finance: Early June Winners and Losers

Using the awesome MtgGoldfish standard indices, this week's winners and losers:


- 5 of the top 7 winners are cards in the GWB Aristocrats deck.
- 5 of the top 6 winners are Innistrad block cards (rotating from standard in September).

Voice of Resurgence at $50 makes enough sense; it's third-set mythic that goes into a whole bunch of standard and modern decks. The fact that it is still peaking online about 5 weeks after the prerelease (and 2 weeks after it won the PT) tells me, as a speculator, that it's OK to buy in on blue-chip cards even a bit after they spike -- more buyers always show up; players will keep buying the new decks for some weeks after they first appear.


- 9 of the 10 losers cost 4 or more mana to cast
- 6 of the 10 losers are Innistrad block cards that will rotate.

It makes some sense that Sphinx's Revelation dropped, since standard has shifted away from being a Revelation-based format, but it's a surprise to see Advent of the Wurm drop this week. That card keeps showing up in new decks and wasn't really overplayed before in standard.

For the giant drop it took in these charts, Bonfire of the Damned (20.12) is still worth more than Domri Rade (14.86) when we look at the listings. Bonfire is an Innistrad block card that is not played outside of standard and has been replaced by Mizzium Mortars in most decks. Domri Rade is a 4-of in the likely best deck in standard. I expect to see Bonfire of the Damned under "top losers" again for the next few weeks.


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